Au début, je croyais que c'était un poisson d'avril lancé d'avance, mais il semble que l'article soit sérieux. Il me semble qu'il ne manque pas de sujet d'actualité pertinent, ni de vrais experts criminologues pour justifier la production d'une telle insignifiance. Visiblement, ni l'auteur de l'article, ni l'éditeur en chef, ni l'astrologue n'ont la moindre notion en statistique (et n'ont pas plus de jugement).
The evil of Aries: Could astrology help point to future jail time?http://nationalpostnews.files.wordpress ... cimage.jpgPolice in Chatham-Kent, Ont., announced Wednesday that, of 1,986 people arrested so far this year, 203 were Aries, whereas just 139 were Sagittarius.
It is the first time the municipality has ranked its crimes by Zodiac sign. Aries were the most arrested, with Libras in second at 189 arrests, and Virgo third at 183. The least criminal were Sagittarius (139 arrests), Aquarius (142) and Taurus (146).
“To provide an interesting astrological perspective, an algorithm was applied to all the arrestees’ dates of birth,” said a news release from the Chatham-Kent Police Service, whose 170 sworn officers patrol the largely rural municipality of rich farmland and of 110,000 residents that sprawls 2,400 square kilometres east of Windsor, Ont.
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“Note: The Chatham-Kent Police Service does not ask an arrested person for their Zodiac sign – a simple calculation was used to create this list.”
Criminologists and astrologists dismissed the list — released by the police on an otherwise slow day for both crime and news — as not comprehensive enough to portray any patterns of crime. Then again, so did the police department.
“You can’t really read too much into it,” says Const. Michael Pearce, a police spokesman, who used an Excell spreadsheet to classify the data. “I don’t comment too much on the Zodiac stuff because I don’t want any backlash about it. I am not drawing any conclusions about it.”
Still, Georgia Nicols, who writes the National Post’s horoscope, said that the results in Chatham-Kent make some sense.
“Aries is the sign of the warrior,” said Ms. Nicols, speaking from her home on Bowan Island, off the coast of Vancouver. “Aries rules the military. Aries jump in head first, and love adventure. A lot of people in the newsroom are Aries.”
Sagittarius stays out of the crime stats, she suggests, because “They don’t get caught. They are smooth. They can talk anybody into anything.”Chatham-Kent placed 34th on Macleansmagazine’s recent ranking of Canada’s most dangerous cities; Const. Pearce said that while violent crime is rare (he cannot remember the last murder), “we have a high number of break-and-enters in Chatham-Kent.”
Still, a person’s personality is tough is to generalize from just birth signs alone. Adolf Hitler was an Aries, but so are Celine Dion and Al Gore. Bruce Lee was a Sagittarius; so was Augusto Pinochet.
Janet Markham, studying for a master’s degreee in cosmology from the University of Wales, said that, when it comes to criminals, a study comparing both the year of birth and birthdate would yield more clues than sun sign comparisons alone.
“I don’t know how you would say that one sign is more aligned to criminality than another,” she said. “If you are looking at criminals, you might be better to look at their whole horoscope.”
Writing on Dailyhoroscope.com, for example, Jeff Jawer notes that serial killer Jeffrey Dahmer, whose gruesome crimes included the murder and mutilation of at least 15 young men, was born on May 21, 1960, at 4:34 p.m. in Milwaukee. “He was a Gemini with the Sun in the 8th House of Sex and Death – two interests which were, unfortunately, closely linked in his life. His desires may have been twisted by potent Pluto’s 90-degree square to his Sun, an angle of tension and mistrust.”
Mass murderer Ted Bundy, was born on Nov. 24, 1946 at 10:35 p.m. in Burlington, Vermont, “with his Sun in fiery Sagittarius,” Mr. Jawer notes. “The key to his pathological behavior appears to be the conjunction of potentially violent Mars with his Moon and Lunar South Node, all in Sagittarius. Uranus, the planet of estrangement, was opposite these three, reflecting his unstable childhood and violent streak.”
Anne Massey, an astrologer in Surrey, B.C., has seen statistics suggesting that Cancers are most likely to be arrested, whereas the most law-abiding signs are Capricorn and Scorpio. She puts little stock in any of this, noting, “I really don’t think the sun sign has anything to do with it because astrology is far more complex than that.”
Dr. Anthony Doob, a professor of criminology at the University of Toronto, said, “I have no idea whether people born at particular times of the year are more likely to be arrested than anyone else. You would have to look at whether there is some consistency across time. My guess is that that, just from listening to the radio, there is not a whole lot going on anywhere, so someone produced this data.”
Const. Pearce, who produced the data, concedes, “Next year the list could be completely different unless we arrest the same people.”
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